my guidebook is complete.

Finally 1 week of hard work.. My guide book is done. This guide is nt like other useless guide book with just long-winded theory. I made it short and sweet as i know ultimately we just want to win. I know it is demoralise to spend so much time in research and in the end u get a lost result. Haiz! I don't really know hw to market this guide and wonder any readers here want to buy. I will be selling a copy at $31.50. 10% of what i owning the internet bill.

surprising turkey work with lesson 3

Lesson 3 depend much on your patience to oversee the whole league. Amazing Eskisehirspor win at last min and hope my reader benefit from my pick so far. Thanks and i should start writing my book. Wish u all give me some support.

Did i win?

Someone asked me did i stake a bit of last few matches since i am spot on. I swear to god! No! Honesty i am tempted to but i know even i win these matches i will end up losing all because i will go for thrill! Or i get greedy. I just want to keep whatever cents and dollars i have and live normal and clear my debt slowly. I beg all my creditor to stop pushing me as i am really broke. Just give me a way out to repent myself. I just want to share some of my knowledge and live peacefully.

Lesson 3 on turkey league

I admit i do not have a detail knowledge on the turk but i know they played good football. Using lesson 3 tactic, it should be safe to punt a little on tonight on Eskisehirspor level on handicap. If you are not comfy with this league pls skip. I just suggesting as there are no major league game tonight. Good luck!

Pick using lesson 3.

Lesson 3 has not been published and it may not be published. Lesson 3 is based on overall league matches. Tonight pick will be based on roma and sampdoria. Take sampdoria +1 or +1.25.

Result on Lesson 2 for Bayern Munchen

This scandal on Ribery comes on time as I conduct my 2nd lesson.


As you see that this scandal did not really affect them at Champion League due to 2 factors.

1. Champion League is a game that you cannot afford any mistake or else it will be next season for you. In their mind will be caution, focus and not be blame for any slip up.
2. Lyon the visitor had to travel in more than 10 hours bus rdie to Germany due to the Volcanic Ash Cloud in Europe.


In their league, they feel more at ease and they can afford to win another day.
Today Bayern Munchuen is favorite to win with Asian Handicap of 1 goal.
The match turn into a 1-1 draw. Amazing?

From Lesson 2....

Franck Ribery recent allegations of relations with an under-age prostitute.

Revelations about the human trafficking case in which Ribery and his France team-mate Sidney Govou were called as witnesses sparked a media storm at the weekend that refuses to be calmed.

Bayern Munich announced to no great surprise on Tuesday morning that Philipp Lahm would be taking Ribery's place at the press conference prior to the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Lyon the following day.

This will likely have an impact on Bayern munich team. :D It not known how severe such an offence is in Germany. This is likely to affect the team morale... maybe not so for Champ league but more on the upcoming league match.

Incident and Disaster Which damage the team morale.

At times I only reveal some tactic to select a good pick. For this instance
It is good to check out outpitch news about soccer. Most people thinks that an incident or disaster may boost a team morale. In fact it deeply damage it. This type of incident usually last a team in couple of matches.

Lesson 2: Indirect Factor the affect the game

Just 1 week back, I missed this piece of news: "Manchester United stars have been left “shaken and upset” over the murder of football-mad 12-year-old schoolgirl Tia Rigg." It was in 06 April. 1 day before the Champ League. Somehow it seem this news broke out late to Man United Player and Surprisingly, they dropped out of Champion League even though they lead 3-0 and during the weekend they drew 0-0 with Blackburn Rover in a Must win match. This In additional the current key striker Wayne rooney was injured.

During Last week of Jan this year, the infamous sex scandal of J Terry with his team mate Wayne Bridge girlfriend broke out. As John Terry is an influential player in Cleasea, This news greatly dampen the team morale. Surprisely Chelsea fail to win 2 underdog in a row and almost lost their title hope. They were beaten 1-2 by burnley and 3 days later, they were held 1-1 by Hull City.

Last Year in German BundesLiga, One of Germany Influential Goalkeeper, Robert Enke committed suicide in early part of Nov 2009. This not only affect Hannover 96 and they lost a key player and From then on, Hannover did not win a league match until 13 March this year. This again apply to team lost an influential player which will be touch on much later.

In 2006 world Cup qualifier, Russia played Slovakia on Sep 2004, The Russia team wore black armband to commemorate the the victime of the Beslan Hostage incident which happend 3 days eariler. Though russia had a high scoring chance, the match goes to a 1-1 draw and Russia even missed a penalty in the game.

During the 2004 tsunami in Aceh, Singapore and Indonesia were in the final of Tiger Cup with Indonesia as the favorite. The Tsunami though happen couple of week early but did not have immediate impact on Indonesia as Earthquake is so common in Sumatra. However with 150,000 dead or missing and it become an international event. This thus greatly destroy Indonesia team morale and they lost both legs of the final to Singapore.

Maybe I should write... a book

IMy friend was advising me. Why not write a book. As a punter and a game researcher I have discover many things that other did not.

Writing a book is much better than teaching people to punter here for free and chalk up the odds. In the end it goes back to square 1.

I was wonder.. is there anyone who will buy my book?
Maybe if i have some comment.

Btw I edit my previous blog on the method to select a pick but the pick still stand. Those lucky one who seen the blog is benefit from it. :)

How to spot and take your pick?

Am I really so good??? Then why I lost? There is a advise from a lot of people. Run away while you are winning. I cannot do it no matter how hard to try. I just wanna bet every match. My though is to gather a lof of ammo to stake on my sure winning pick. Most of the time, I wasted my credit before I get to bet my pick.

Maybe its time to share my wisdom. Hope I can get some donation for this.

Lesson 1

If you look at the stats almost 50% for win goes to home team. This is due to motivation factor by the support. The home crowd. The more popular team it is, the best the team perform. There is why many underdog create upset at home

How to pick a good home team to win?

EDIT AND REMOVE THE CONTENT.....
I have remove this part of content and I think it should remain a trade secret.
For those who seen this part - good for you. :)

Please note the disclaimer. This is not 100% foolproof especailly when player get sent off or disaster that dampen the club morale(I will touch on this later).
Please note that winning away does not mean a great result. For example Barca winning away at 0-2 with Xerez Deportivo is just a norm and the next week game at home is still unpredictable. Alway wait at least half a season past to determine which team is strong or weak. You never expect Liverpool is falling behind in the league from tottemham and Man city this season.

You can try next week...
Tenerife to win Getafe next week. They may get a good result against Getafe. But note they Getafe is doing well too. so try some on Tenerife playing at home next week.